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Just Another Prognosticating Film Nerd

February 26, 2011

My 2011 Oscar Picks!… because I’m sure nobody else has written their picks on their blogs.

Actor in a Leading Role

  • Javier Bardem in “Biutiful” – Terrific actor, but I think the academy will allow for it to be someone else’s turn.
  • Jeff Bridges in “True Grit” – Unfortunately, westerns generally don’t win.
  • Jesse Eisenberg in “The Social Network” – While he was finally something different from his character in Roger Dodger, Zombieland and Adventureland, this still isn’t an Oscar worthy performance.
  • Colin Firth in “The King’s Speech” – THE WINNER
  • James Franco in “127 Hours” – I would have no problem with the surprise win by Franco in this category.

Actor in a Supporting Role

  • Christian Bale in “The Fighter” – They should just call this the Christian Bale Award.
  • John Hawkes in “Winter’s Bone” –
  • Jeremy Renner in “The Town” – He was great in The Hurt Locker, but this sort of feels like we could have just nominated Stallone for the Expendables.
  • Mark Ruffalo in “The Kids Are All Right” – Not all that great.
  • Geoffrey Rush in “The King’s Speech” – THE WINNER

Actress in a Leading Role

  • Annette Bening in “The Kids Are All Right” – Ehhhh
  • Nicole Kidman in “Rabbit Hole” – Ehhhh
  • Jennifer Lawrence in “Winter’s Bone” – Amazing
  • Natalie Portman in “Black Swan” – THE WINNER, I haven’t seen it yet, but this is still what I think.
  • Michelle Williams in “Blue Valentine” – …….didn’t see it…… sorry

Actress in a Supporting Role

  • Amy Adams in “The Fighter” – She should win the Christian Bale award as well.
  • Helena Bonham Carter in “The King’s Speech” – THE WINNER
  • Melissa Leo in “The Fighter” – Fantastic, but…… just not enough.
  • Hailee Steinfeld in “True Grit” – Her performance makes me sad that westerns don’t generally win. Hailee’s performance hearkens back to classic Hollywood cinema for me.
  • Jacki Weaver in “Animal Kingdom” – Didn’t see it……

Animated Feature Film

  • “How to Train Your Dragon” Chris Sanders and Dean DeBlois – Adorable but predictable.
  • “The Illusionist” Sylvain Chomet
  • “Toy Story 3” Lee Unkrich- Hesitant THE WINNER
  • I would just give a second award to “UP”

Art Direction

  • “Alice in Wonderland” – Really amazing, but it is just another Tim Burton movie. It was what I expected.
    Production Design: Robert Stromberg; Set Decoration: Karen O’Hara
  • “Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1” – Wonderfully Dark and Foreboding.
    Production Design: Stuart Craig; Set Decoration: Stephenie McMillan
  • “Inception” THE WINNER for upside-down cities, ancient crumbling skyscrapers, and Swiss Alp fortresses.
    Production Design: Guy Hendrix Dyas; Set Decoration: Larry Dias and Doug Mowat
  • “The King’s Speech” – Possible… The recreation of the Royals apartments and era were flawless.
    Production Design: Eve Stewart; Set Decoration: Judy Farr
  • “True Grit” – Looked great, but just filler for the category.
    Production Design: Jess Gonchor; Set Decoration: Nancy Haigh


  • “Black Swan” Matthew Libatique
  • “Inception” Wally Pfister – Amazing, but this is the New York Yankees of Movies. They just paid as much money as possible until they got exactly what they wanted. It seemed less cinematography and more exactly what Nolan wanted, to the frame.
  • “The King’s Speech” Danny Cohen – THE WINNER Beautiful tracking shots through the palace. Close ups that made us uncomfortable while waiting for a person to speak. This is what movies should look like.
  • “The Social Network” Jeff Cronenweth
  • “True Grit” Roger Deakins

Costume Design

  • “Alice in Wonderland” Colleen Atwood
  • “I Am Love” Antonella Cannarozzi
  • “The King’s Speech” Jenny Beavan
  • “The Tempest” Sandy Powell – Hahahahahahaha ….. Spider man the Broadway musical… Hahahahahaha ….. Sorry, I just can’t see or hear or read anything about Julie Taymor without falling into uncontrollable laughter.
  • “True Grit” Mary Zophres – OUT ON A LIMB – THE WINNER


  • “Black Swan” Darren Aronofsky
  • “The Fighter” David O. Russell – Great film, but the last 20 minutes sort of bored me.
  • “The King’s Speech” Tom Hooper – THE WINNER
  • “The Social Network” David Fincher – Maybe….
  • “True Grit” Joel Coen and Ethan Coen- The last 20 minutes were awesome, but the Coens don’t really need another award.

Documentary (Feature)

  • “Exit through the Gift Shop” Banksy and Jaimie D’Cruz – THE WINNER
  • “Gasland” Josh Fox and Trish Adlesic – I had no idea natural gas could cause so many unnatural problems.
  • “Inside Job” Charles Ferguson and Audrey Marrs
  • “Restrepo” Tim Hetherington and Sebastian Junger
  • “Waste Land” Lucy Walker and Angus Aynsley

Documentary (Short Subject) (Watching all of these tomorrow)

  • “Killing in the Name” Jed Rothstein
  • “Poster Girl” Sara Nesson and Mitchell W. Block
  • “Strangers No More” Karen Goodman and Kirk Simon
  • “Sun Come Up” Jennifer Redfearn and Tim Metzger
  • “The Warriors of Qiugang” Ruby Yang and Thomas Lennon

Film Editing

  • “Black Swan” Andrew Weisblum
  • “The Fighter” Pamela Martin
  • “The King’s Speech” Tariq Anwar
  • “127 Hours” Jon Harris – THE WINNER
  • “The Social Network” Angus Wall and Kirk Baxter

Foreign Language Film

  • “Biutiful” Mexico
  • “Dogtooth” Greece – THE WINNER
  • “In a Better World” Denmark
  • “Incendies” Canada
  • “Outside the Law (Hors-la-loi)” Algeria


  • “Barney’s Version” Adrien Morot
  • “The Way Back” Edouard F. Henriques, Gregory Funk and Yolanda Toussieng
  • “The Wolfman” Rick Baker and Dave Elsey – THE WINNER – This was a HORRIBLE movie, but …

Music (Original Score)

  • “How to Train Your Dragon” John Powell
  • “Inception” Hans Zimmer
  • “The King’s Speech” Alexandre Desplat
  • “127 Hours” A.R. Rahman
  • “The Social Network” Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross- This music complimented the film in ways that amazed me. THE WINNER

Music (Original Song)

  • “Coming Home” from “Country Strong” Music and Lyric by Tom Douglas, Troy Verges and Hillary Lindsey
  • “I See the Light” from “Tangled” Music by Alan Menken Lyric by Glenn Slater
  • “If I Rise” from “127 Hours” Music by A.R. Rahman Lyric by Dido and Rollo Armstrong – THE WINNER
  • “We Belong Together” from “Toy Story 3″ Music and Lyric by Randy Newman

Best Picture (I will UPDATE later) I’m seeing Black Swan today.

  • “Black Swan” Mike Medavoy, Brian Oliver and Scott Franklin, Producers
  • “The Fighter” David Hoberman, Todd Lieberman and Mark Wahlberg, Producers
  • “Inception” Emma Thomas and Christopher Nolan, Producers
  • “The Kids Are All Right” Gary Gilbert, Jeffrey Levy-Hinte and Celine Rattray, Producers
  • “The King’s Speech” Iain Canning, Emile Sherman and Gareth Unwin, Producers
  • “127 Hours” Christian Colson, Danny Boyle and John Smithson, Producers
  • “The Social Network” Scott Rudin, Dana Brunetti, Michael De Luca and Ceán Chaffin, Producers
  • “Toy Story 3” Darla K. Anderson, Producer
  • “True Grit” Scott Rudin, Ethan Coen and Joel Coen, Producers
  • “Winter’s Bone” Anne Rosellini and Alix Madigan-Yorkin, Producers

Short Film (Animated)

  • “Day & Night” Teddy Newton
  • “The Gruffalo” Jakob Schuh and Max Lang
  • “Let’s Pollute” Geefwee Boedoe
  • “The Lost Thing” Shaun Tan and Andrew Ruhemann
  • “Madagascar, carnet de voyage (Madagascar, a Journey Diary)” Bastien Dubois

Short Film (Live Action)

  • “The Confession” Tanel Toom
  • “The Crush” Michael Creagh
  • “God of Love” Luke Matheny
  • “Na Wewe” Ivan Goldschmidt
  • “Wish 143” Ian Barnes and Samantha Waite

I’m watching the animated and live action shorts tomorrow before the show, but that doesn’t mean I don’t have a great story! I do live in the New York City area after all! At the last Tribeca film fest my wife and I attended the shorts programs, and I had to leave the theater at one point for a moment. When I came back in, I stood in the back of the theater so I didn’t  distract anyone. The film was The Crush, nominated for the live action short Oscar. While I was standing in the rear of the theater others entered and stood with me. One man stood right next to me and commented on a point at which I laughed at the film. We spoke for a moment. I was critical of the film but told him that overall it was the best film in the series I had seen. When the credits rolled the directors of the films were called up and I realized I was talking to the film’s director, Michael Creagh, who is now nominated for an Academy Award. I met an Oscar nominee! Only in New York.

Sound Editing

  • “Inception” Richard King – THE WINNER
  • “Toy Story 3” Tom Myers and Michael Silvers
  • “Tron: Legacy” Gwendolyn Yates Whittle and Addison Teague
  • “True Grit” Skip Lievsay and Craig Berkey
  • “Unstoppable” Mark P. Stoeckinger

Sound Mixing

  • “Inception” Lora Hirschberg, Gary A. Rizzo and Ed Novick
  • “The King’s Speech” Paul Hamblin, Martin Jensen and John Midgley – THE WINNER
  • “Salt” Jeffrey J. Haboush, Greg P. Russell, Scott Millan and William Sarokin
  • “The Social Network” Ren Klyce, David Parker, Michael Semanick and Mark Weingarten
  • “True Grit” Skip Lievsay, Craig Berkey, Greg Orloff and Peter F. Kurland

Visual Effects

  • “Alice in Wonderland” Ken Ralston, David Schaub, Carey Villegas and Sean Phillips
  • “Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1” Tim Burke, John Richardson, Christian Manz and Nicolas Aithadi
  • “Hereafter” Michael Owens, Bryan Grill, Stephan Trojansky and Joe Farrell
  • “Inception” Paul Franklin, Chris Corbould, Andrew Lockley and Peter Bebb – THE WINNER
  • “Iron Man 2” Janek Sirrs, Ben Snow, Ged Wright and Daniel Sudick

Writing (Adapted Screenplay)

  • “127 Hours” Screenplay by Danny Boyle & Simon Beaufoy
  • “The Social Network” Screenplay by Aaron Sorkin – THE WINNER
  • “Toy Story 3” Screenplay by Michael Arndt; Story by John Lasseter, Andrew Stanton and Lee Unkrich
  • “True Grit” Written for the screen by Joel Coen & Ethan Coen
  • “Winter’s Bone” Adapted for the screen by Debra Granik & Anne Rosellini

Writing (Original Screenplay)

  • “Another Year” Written by Mike Leigh
  • “The Fighter” Screenplay by Scott Silver and Paul Tamasy & Eric Johnson;
    Story by Keith Dorrington & Paul Tamasy & Eric Johnson
  • “Inception” Written by Christopher Nolan
  • “The Kids Are All Right” Written by Lisa Cholodenko & Stuart Blumberg
  • “The King’s Speech” Screenplay by David Seidler – THE WINNER
3 Comments leave one →
  1. February 27, 2011 8:51 am

    Wow…you are really thorough.
    I hope The King Speech win best picture and Colin Firth win best actor but for supporting, I hope bale will win it.
    And also hoping Inception will get at least 1 award.

  2. March 4, 2011 3:04 am

    If you wish to watch a Razzie-winning film, I’d highly recommend The Last Airbender – A distinctly awful creation 🙂

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